MantovavsFiorenzuola

Mantova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Fiorenzuola are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 39.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.