Mantovavs
Atalanta II
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/30/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Mantova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atalanta II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00