GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 1/14/2024, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mantova are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Arzignano Valchiampo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

59.0%

Model confidence

59.0%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MantovaWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Arzignano ValchiampoDDWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MantovaArzignano Valchiampo
63.2Attack28.1
72.8Defence67.5
70.2Form38.6
68.8Power46.1
1.41xG0.39
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