Mantovavs
Alessandria
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/6/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Mantova are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Alessandria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
72.8%
Model confidence
72.8%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60