Mantovavs
Albinoleffe
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Mantova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00