GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/24/2023, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mantova · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mantova are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Albinoleffe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mantova hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (68.8 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Mantova holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mantova

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MantovaWWWDD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AlbinoleffeWLLDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MantovaAlbinoleffe
63.2Attack29.8
72.8Defence67.5
70.2Form39.5
68.8Power47.9
1.41xG0.42
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