Mantova U19vs
Cremonese U19
COMPLETEDItaly · Campionato Primavera - 2 · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cremonese U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mantova U19 4-1 Cremonese U19
Original prediction
Cremonese U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.12 | 22.1% | 30.2% | 8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.4% | 26.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 53.5% | 43.0% | -10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Cremonese U19
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Cremonese U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.33/1.00
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60