Manthiqueiravs
Uniao Mogi
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 4/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manthiqueira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Manthiqueira are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Uniao Mogi are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Uniao Mogi hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Paulista Série B, while Manthiqueira holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manthiqueira
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
11.9%
Manthiqueira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80