ManthiqueiravsMauaense

Manthiqueira are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mauaense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mauaense hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Paulista Série B, while Mauaense holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.