GGOALVIO

Manthiqueira logoManthiqueiravsMaua logoMaua

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Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Manthiqueira are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Maua are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Maua hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Paulista Série B, while Maua holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maua

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

8.9%

Maua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ManthiqueiraDWLDL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MauaWDWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ManthiqueiraMaua
50.0Attack63.9
41.7Defence44.4
38.9Form52.8
44.6Power53.2
1.74xG2.10
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