GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

José Bonifácio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Manthiqueira are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while José Bonifácio are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and José Bonifácio hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Paulista Série B, while José Bonifácio holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

José Bonifácio

Probability

61.4%

Model confidence

12.3%

José Bonifácio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ManthiqueiraWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
José BonifácioDWDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
ManthiqueiraJosé Bonifácio
50.0Attack54.8
41.7Defence73.8
38.9Form69.0
44.6Power67.1
0.79xG1.87
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