GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manthiqueira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Manthiqueira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Barcelona EC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Manthiqueira hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Paulista Série B, while Manthiqueira holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manthiqueira

Probability

77.2%

Model confidence

11.8%

Manthiqueira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ManthiqueiraLDLLW

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Barcelona ECLLLLL

GF 0 · GA 13 · avg 0.00/2.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
ManthiqueiraBarcelona EC
50.0Attack16.7
41.7Defence13.3
38.9Form0.0
44.6Power14.3
2.79xG0.77
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