GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/4/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manthiqueira · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Manthiqueira are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Atletico Mogi are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Manthiqueira hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.3% in the Paulista Série B, while Manthiqueira holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manthiqueira

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Manthiqueira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ManthiqueiraLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/2.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Atletico MogiDD

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
ManthiqueiraAtletico Mogi
50.0Attack26.7
41.7Defence40.0
38.9Form20.0
44.6Power32.0
2.01xG0.82
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