GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 10/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Manta FC 0-0 Tecnico Universitario, with an exact score probability of 23%.

Prediction record

Final result

Manta FC 1-0 Tecnico Universitario

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1242.7%34.0%-8.7 pts
Draw3.0329.9%32.4%2.5 pts
Away3.3127.4%33.6%6.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.5 pts

Projected Score

Manta FC 0–0 Tecnico Universitario

Exact score probability: 23%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

32.4%

Model confidence

34.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manta FCWDLLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tecnico UniversitarioDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Manta FCTecnico Universitario
20.4Attack31.2
53.8Defence53.8
25.8Form35.5
36.1Power42.0
0.73xG0.80
View match centre →