Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orense SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Manta FC 0-0 Orense SC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Manta FC 2-1 Orense SC
Original prediction
Orense SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.3% | 30.6% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.1% | 29.4% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 33.6% | 40.0% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Projected Score
Manta FC 0–0 Orense SC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Orense SC
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Orense SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Manta FCDLLWL
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Orense SCLWLLL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Manta FCOrense SC
18.9Attack40.0
53.3Defence47.8
23.3Form36.7
34.7Power43.8
0.82xG1.05