GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/3/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Manta FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 42.9-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

69.6%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manta FCLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente del ValleLWWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Manta FCIndependiente del Valle
15.3Attack81.3
58.3Defence68.0
23.6Form85.3
35.4Power78.3
0.45xG1.94
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