GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Manta FC 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca, with an exact score probability of 27%.

Prediction record

Final result

Manta FC 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0145.1%32.3%-12.8 pts
Draw3.0829.4%33.3%3.9 pts
Away3.5625.5%34.4%8.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.9 pts

Projected Score

Manta FC 0–0 Deportivo Cuenca

Exact score probability: 27%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.3%

Model confidence

34.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manta FCLWWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CuencaWDDDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Manta FCDeportivo Cuenca
22.2Attack28.3
52.5Defence60.6
27.3Form41.4
36.8Power46.2
0.62xG0.76
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