GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Barcelona SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Manta FC 0-0 Barcelona SC, with an exact score probability of 26%.

Prediction record

Final result

Manta FC 2-0 Barcelona SC

Original prediction

Barcelona SC

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.6625.0%17.1%-7.9 pts
Draw3.2528.1%30.9%2.8 pts
Away1.9546.9%52.0%5.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.1 pts

Projected Score

Manta FC 0–0 Barcelona SC

Exact score probability: 26%

Predicted outcome

Barcelona SC

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Barcelona SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manta FCLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Barcelona SCWDLWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Manta FCBarcelona SC
15.4Attack35.9
52.6Defence74.4
21.8Form50.0
33.0Power55.1
0.39xG0.99
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