GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/15/2025, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mansfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mansfield Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mansfield Town hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Mansfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mansfield Town

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Mansfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mansfield TownDWLDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Newcastle United U21LWLLD

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Mansfield TownNewcastle United U21
44.4Attack22.2
44.4Defence55.6
33.3Form11.1
43.7Power32.9
1.75xG1.34
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