Mansfield Townvs
Newcastle United U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/29/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mansfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mansfield Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mansfield Town hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Mansfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mansfield Town
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Mansfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80