GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 10/29/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mansfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mansfield Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Newcastle United U21 are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mansfield Town hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 32.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Mansfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mansfield Town

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Mansfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mansfield TownDWLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Newcastle United U21LDDLD

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Mansfield TownNewcastle United U21
44.4Attack22.2
44.4Defence55.6
33.3Form11.1
43.7Power32.9
1.75xG1.34
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