GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mansfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Mansfield Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Morecambe are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mansfield Town hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (64.1 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.6% in the League Two, while Mansfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mansfield Town

Probability

70.6%

Model confidence

70.6%

Mansfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mansfield TownWDWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
MorecambeDWLDW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Mansfield TownMorecambe
65.2Attack48.6
65.9Defence41.3
62.3Form44.2
64.1Power46.2
2.59xG0.86
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