GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/9/2025, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mansfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mansfield Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Harrogate Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Mansfield Town hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Mansfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mansfield Town

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Mansfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mansfield TownLDLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Harrogate TownLLLWD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Mansfield TownHarrogate Town
44.4Attack55.6
44.4Defence11.1
33.3Form33.3
43.7Power37.2
2.14xG1.61
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