Mansfield Townvs
Grimsby
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2023, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mansfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mansfield Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Grimsby are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grimsby hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the League Cup, while Mansfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mansfield Town
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Mansfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00