GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mansfield Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Mansfield Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Everton U21 are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLDL), averaging 0.25 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mansfield Town hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the EFL Trophy, while Mansfield Town holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mansfield Town

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Mansfield Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mansfield TownLWWWW

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Everton U21LLDL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.25/1.50

BTTS 1/4O2.5 0/4
Mansfield TownEverton U21
44.4Attack11.1
44.4Defence55.6
33.3Form33.3
43.7Power37.2
1.70xG1.37
View match centre →