Mansfield Townvs
Doncaster
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Doncaster · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Mansfield Town are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Doncaster are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Doncaster hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Doncaster holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Doncaster
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Doncaster has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00