GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 9/17/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Mansfield Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bradford are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 37.6-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 81.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bradford

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mansfield TownWDLLD

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BradfordLWDLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Mansfield TownBradford
44.4Attack76.2
44.4Defence85.7
33.3Form85.7
43.7Power81.3
1.08xG2.35
View match centre →