Manresavs
Sant Andreu
LIVESpain · Copa del Rey · 10/27/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sant Andreu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.47 | 26.6% | 35.8% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.6% | 27.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 46.8% | 36.7% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sant Andreu
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Sant Andreu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ManresaWDDWL
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sant AndreuLDLDW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ManresaSant Andreu
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.63xG1.39