Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manresa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Manresa 0-0 Ebro, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Manresa 3-2 Ebro
Original prediction
Manresa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 19:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.0% | 40.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.7% | 30.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.3% | 28.7% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Projected Score
Manresa 0–0 Ebro
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Manresa
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Manresa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ManresaDDWLL
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EbroLWWWL
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ManresaEbro
52.4Attack42.9
76.2Defence76.2
52.4Form61.9
59.8Power62.2
0.98xG0.74