GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 4/3/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manly United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Manly United are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sydney II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Manly United hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (48.9 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the New South Wales NPL, while Manly United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manly United

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

14.5%

Manly United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manly UnitedLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Sydney IILLLLW

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Manly UnitedSydney II
39.3Attack41.7
58.3Defence51.2
45.2Form44.0
48.9Power46.4
1.25xG0.95
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