Manisa F.K.vs
İstanbulspor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manisa F.K. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manisa F.K. 0-1 İstanbulspor
Original prediction
Manisa F.K.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 17:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.79 | 50.7% | 64.2% | 13.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.7% | 19.3% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.6% | 16.5% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Manisa F.K.
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Manisa F.K. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80