Manisa F.K.vs
Bodrum FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 8/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Manisa F.K. 0-0 Bodrum FK, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Manisa F.K. 0-0 Bodrum FK
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.7% | 34.6% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.8% | 30.3% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.90 | 31.5% | 35.2% | 3.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.27 · Draw 2.27 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Manisa F.K. 0–0 Bodrum FK
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.3%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Manisa F.K.DWWWL
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Bodrum FKDDLLW
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Manisa F.K.Bodrum FK
66.7Attack43.0
66.7Defence78.9
100.0Form57.0
80.3Power60.3
0.88xG1.00