Manila Diggervs
Kasuka
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 10/18/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manila Digger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manila Digger 5-0 Kasuka
Original prediction
Manila Digger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 88.0% | 47.6% | -40.4 pts |
| Draw | 12.10 | 7.7% | 23.1% | 15.4 pts |
| Away | 21.40 | 4.3% | 29.3% | 25.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-40.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Manila Digger
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Manila Digger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 4 · GA 19 · avg 0.80/3.80