Manila Diggervs
Dynamic Herb Cebu
COMPLETEDPhilippines · PFL · 10/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manila Digger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manila Digger 2-0 Dynamic Herb Cebu
Original prediction
Manila Digger
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.15 | 79.2% | 57.9% | -21.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.66 | 13.6% | 21.3% | 7.6 pts |
| Away | 12.54 | 7.2% | 20.8% | 13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Manila Digger
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Manila Digger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80