Mandurah Cityvs
Murdoch Melville
SCHEDULEDAustralia · Western Australia State League 1 · 8/22/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mandurah City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Mandurah City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Murdoch Melville are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mandurah City hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Mandurah City holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mandurah City
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
7.5%
Mandurah City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40