GGOALVIO

Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · 4/6/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mandurah City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Mandurah City are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (WLLL), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Murdoch Melville are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mandurah City hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Mandurah City holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mandurah City

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Mandurah City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mandurah CityWLLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 3/4
Murdoch MelvilleWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Mandurah CityMurdoch Melville
69.8Attack58.7
39.7Defence31.7
52.4Form34.9
54.6Power43.8
3.26xG1.93
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