Mandurah Cityvs
Gwelup Croatia
COMPLETEDAustralia · Western Australia State League 1 · 7/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mandurah City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Mandurah City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gwelup Croatia are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mandurah City hold a 10.9-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Mandurah City holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mandurah City
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
7.9%
Mandurah City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80