Mandel Unitedvs
Zelzate
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mandel United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mandel United 3-1 Zelzate
Original prediction
Mandel United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 49.9% | 57.0% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 24.9% | 22.8% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.2% | 20.2% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Mandel United
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
57.0%
Mandel United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40