Mandel Unitedvs
Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mandel United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mandel United 1-1 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar
Original prediction
Mandel United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.6% | 45.2% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 25.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.0% | 29.2% | -6.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Mandel United
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Mandel United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20