Mandel Unitedvs
Hoogstraten
COMPLETEDBelgium · First Amateur Division · 9/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mandel United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mandel United 2-1 Hoogstraten
Original prediction
Mandel United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.2% | 45.3% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.1% | 25.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 30.7% | 29.3% | -1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Mandel United
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Mandel United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00