GGOALVIO

Norway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mandalskameratene · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 4-1 (7%), 4-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Mandalskameratene 0-1 Stabæk II

Original prediction

Mandalskameratene

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5458.9%68.6%9.8 pts
Draw4.4420.4%14.7%-5.6 pts
Away4.3720.7%16.6%-4.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.4–17%
  2. 2.4–27%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

Mandalskameratene

Probability

68.6%

Model confidence

68.6%

Mandalskameratene has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MandalskamerateneWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 1 · avg 2.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Stabæk IIWLDWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MandalskamerateneStabæk II
81.8Attack71.2
50.0Defence25.8
65.2Form45.5
64.1Power48.0
4.38xG1.99
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