Mandalskameratenevs
Madla
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 4 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Madla · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mandalskameratene 2-0 Madla
Original prediction
Madla
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 39.5% | 34.6% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.02 | 22.4% | 18.6% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.1% | 46.8% | 8.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Madla
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Madla has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20