Manchester United Wvs
West Ham W
COMPLETEDEngland · FA WSL · 9/27/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchester United W 2-1 West Ham W
Original prediction
Manchester United W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 59.5% | 40.0% | -19.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.1% | 25.4% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.97 | 18.4% | 34.6% | 16.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United W
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Manchester United W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80