Manchester United Wvs
Sheffield United W
COMPLETEDEngland · WSL Cup · 9/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchester United W 10-1 Sheffield United W
Original prediction
Manchester United W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.05 | 86.7% | 72.5% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 9.77 | 9.3% | 15.4% | 6.1 pts |
| Away | 22.31 | 4.1% | 12.1% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Manchester United W
Probability
72.5%
Model confidence
72.5%
Manchester United W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80