GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/15/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester United W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Manchester United W are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Leicester City FC W are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United W hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 35.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.2% in the FA WSL, while Manchester United W holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester United W

Probability

73.2%

Model confidence

73.2%

Manchester United W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manchester United WDDW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Leicester City FC WWW

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 2.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Manchester United WLeicester City FC W
63.6Attack39.4
51.5Defence31.8
53.0Form27.3
55.0Power35.0
2.99xG1.00
View match centre →