GGOALVIO

England · FA WSL · 10/6/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Arsenal W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Manchester United W are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arsenal W are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal W hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 74.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the FA WSL, while Arsenal W holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Arsenal W

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

58.0%

Arsenal W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manchester United WW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Arsenal WLDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Manchester United WArsenal W
63.6Attack80.3
51.5Defence69.7
53.0Form75.8
55.0Power74.0
1.19xG2.28
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