GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2024, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Manchester United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Twente are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester United

Probability

71.6%

Model confidence

71.6%

Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manchester UnitedDWWLL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
TwenteWWDLD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Manchester UnitedTwente
77.8Attack50.0
57.8Defence33.3
71.1Form16.7
69.9Power36.5
2.91xG1.02
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