Manchester Unitedvs
Sabah FA
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 9/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sabah FA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-3 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Manchester United 4-0 Sabah FA
Original prediction
Sabah FA
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 18:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.09 | 87.4% | 34.2% | -53.2 pts |
| Draw | 10.85 | 8.8% | 15.5% | 6.7 pts |
| Away | 25.27 | 3.8% | 50.3% | 46.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
46.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–39%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–38%
Predicted outcome
Sabah FA
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Sabah FA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20