Manchester Unitedvs
Real Sociedad
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 3/13/2025, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Manchester United are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Sociedad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Manchester United
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60