GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/23/2025, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Manchester United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Rangers are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 33.4-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.6% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester United

Probability

70.6%

Model confidence

70.6%

Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manchester UnitedLWDLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RangersWWWDD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Manchester UnitedRangers
77.8Attack33.3
57.8Defence50.0
71.1Form16.7
69.9Power36.5
2.73xG0.95
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