GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Manchester United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while PAOK are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester United

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

63.8%

Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manchester UnitedDWLDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
PAOKWWLDD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Manchester UnitedPAOK
77.8Attack58.3
57.8Defence50.0
71.1Form50.0
69.9Power54.5
2.59xG1.16
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