GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/28/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Manchester United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Manchester United are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bodo/Glimt are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Manchester United hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (69.9 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Manchester United holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Manchester United

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Manchester United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Manchester UnitedDWWDW

GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Bodo/GlimtWDLDL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Manchester UnitedBodo/Glimt
77.8Attack58.3
57.8Defence47.9
71.1Form47.9
69.9Power52.4
2.75xG1.28
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